{"id":1708,"date":"2018-01-07T01:13:57","date_gmt":"2018-01-07T06:13:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/?p=1708"},"modified":"2018-01-07T01:13:57","modified_gmt":"2018-01-07T06:13:57","slug":"recency-is-a-dangerous-bias","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/recency-is-a-dangerous-bias\/","title":{"rendered":"Recency is a dangerous bias"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As many companies did, we just finished product planning (at least for 1H) before the holidays. There are a lot of inputs that go into a roadmap &#8211; customer problems to solve, customer satisfaction to deliver, company strategy, product strategy, and beyond.<\/p>\n<p>Understanding how to prioritize and weigh these inputs is a critical part of being a successful product manager.<\/p>\n<p>When these inputs come in the form of metrics, it tends to be easier to look at things as black and white. As a simple example, releasing feature A to a few customers helped us move critical metric M. We need to add component C1 and C2 to get to the next 10 customers, and then we&#8217;ll be able to move M even further.<\/p>\n<p>However, when they come from anecodotes, then things are less black and white. Worse, there&#8217;s a tendency to look at the most recent anecodote, and give it greater weight than it deserves. Just like when you buy a red car, and all of a sudden every car you see is a red car , observational selection bias can bite you when you&#8217;re doing product planning.<\/p>\n<p>This is where bringing in a framework like <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.intercom.com\/rice-simple-prioritization-for-product-managers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">RICE<\/a>\u00a0can help, but the challenge is that if the weighting is biased, then the framework will fail you.<\/p>\n<p>So how do you weigh the weighing system without introducing recency bias?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As many companies did, we just finished product planning (at least for 1H) before the holidays. There are a lot of inputs that go into a roadmap &#8211; customer problems to solve, customer satisfaction to deliver, company strategy, product strategy, and beyond. Understanding how to prioritize and weigh these inputs is a critical part of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1708","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-becomingapm"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p8fAIx-ry","jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1708","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1708"}],"version-history":[{"count":23,"href":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1708\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1731,"href":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1708\/revisions\/1731"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1708"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1708"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onvural.net\/melih\/builder\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1708"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}